President Obama is seriously considering an executive order to
create a bipartisan commission that could weigh sweeping tax increases
and spending cuts to try to slash the soaring federal deficit, CNN has
learned.
Documents obtained by CNN show that top advisers to the
president have been privately weighing various versions of a
commission, and opinions differ about how to structure it. Officials
say that some inside the administration are pushing for a narrow
mandate because it's too complicated to tackle reform of the tax system
and possible spending cuts to various popular programs such as Social
Security and Medicare all at once.
"Each major category of
fiscal policy -- Social Security, Medicare, discretionary spending,
revenues -- raises a complex and idiosyncratic array of policy problems
and prescriptions," according to the documents detailing some of the
administration's deliberations. "Achieving consensus on any one of
these issues -- much less all of them simultaneously -- may be more
than the political system can reasonably accommodate."
But
officials told CNN that other advisers to the president are pushing for
the commission to have a broad mandate to put all of these big issues
"on the table" at the same time.
"The nation's unsustainable
fiscal course is the result of imbalance across the budget as a whole,
not any component in isolation," according to the documents, which are
marked "Preliminary and Pre-Decisional -- Not For Distribution."
"And,
in both the 1990 and 1993 budget deals, the final compromises
encompassed both revenue enhancements and spending reductions," add the
documents. "Such deals, touching on both sides of the budget ledger,
perhaps offer the best way of achieving a bipartisan deficit reduction
package."
The Obama administration's deliberations are taking on
some urgency behind closed doors because the president is facing heavy
pressure from Senators Kent Conrad, a North Dakota Democrat, and Judd
Gregg, a New Hampshire Republican, to appoint a commission.
Conrad
and Gregg, along with a group of moderates led by Senator Evan Bayh, an
Indiana Democrat, have been threatening to block a large increase in
the nation's debt ceiling unless the president agrees to a commission.
We are on a path to bankruptcy as a nation, and it's that simple.
--Sen. Judd Gregg
While some critics charge a commission
would be a cop-out because it would punt Congressional decisions to an
outside panel, the senators pushing the plan believe the current system
is broken and it will take a new mechanism to enact the wrenching
changes that will be needed to get the budget back into balance.
"We
are on a path to bankruptcy as a nation, and it's that simple," Gregg
said last week as he and Conrad officially introduced legislation that
now has 33 co-sponsors.
The Conrad-Gregg bill would need to pass
both chambers of Congress and then be signed into law by Obama. It
would create a deficit commission with 10 Democrats (eight members of
Congress and two Obama officials) and 8 Republicans (all from the House
and Senate).
The panel would have several months in 2010 to
study the problem and then vote after the midterm elections on a reform
package that could include dramatic tax hikes and spending cuts. If 14
of the 18 members approve the package, giving it a bipartisan nod, it
would force an automatic up-or-down vote in the House and Senate on
whether to implement the recommendations.
If Obama
signed an executive order to create the commission, however, it would
not have the full force of law and thus the outside commission could
not mandate that Congress vote up-or-down on the recommendations. This
would also give the president more wiggle room to ignore the
recommendations if the commission suggests, for example, raising taxes
on people earning less than $250,000 a year, which would break an Obama
campaign promise.
Some administration officials also like the
executive order idea because it could help the White House place more
Obama officials on the commission to give the president more control.
But
the documents obtained by CNN note that also brings political risk:
"The promise of greater say over the deliberations and final product of
the commission, but the peril of being more deeply implicated in the
event of failure."